Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.029661 0.034431 0.039726 0.046039 0.053366 0.061602 0.071572
2025-12-14 0.021369 0.027376 0.034725 0.044383 0.056754 0.072090 0.092577
2025-12-21 0.016571 0.022892 0.031221 0.043015 0.059312 0.081085 0.112474
2025-12-28 0.014062 0.020665 0.029916 0.043842 0.064324 0.093432 0.138112
2026-01-04 0.012065 0.018700 0.028497 0.044045 0.068179 0.104353 0.162977
2026-01-11 0.010504 0.017071 0.027231 0.044131 0.071652 0.114911 0.188497
2026-01-18 0.009374 0.015904 0.026447 0.044751 0.075892 0.127009 0.217892
2026-01-25 0.008544 0.015085 0.026069 0.045910 0.081060 0.141117 0.252367
2026-02-01 0.007422 0.013595 0.024347 0.044495 0.081554 0.147277 0.273750
2026-02-08 0.006644 0.012601 0.023338 0.044170 0.083869 0.156796 0.302280
2026-02-15 0.005964 0.011689 0.022350 0.043723 0.085846 0.165847 0.330994
2026-02-22 0.005514 0.011152 0.021980 0.044384 0.089976 0.179373 0.370054
2026-03-01 0.004967 0.010364 0.021052 0.043864 0.091792 0.188787 0.402507
2026-03-08 0.004416 0.009496 0.019859 0.042656 0.092051 0.195125 0.429508
2026-03-15 0.003934 0.008706 0.018726 0.041417 0.092062 0.200913 0.456067
2026-03-22 0.003688 0.008395 0.018557 0.042228 0.096617 0.216927 0.507428
2026-03-29 0.003417 0.007993 0.018139 0.042428 0.099813 0.230323 0.554599
2026-04-05 0.003166 0.007602 0.017698 0.042511 0.102740 0.243451 0.602899
2026-04-12 0.002975 0.007328 0.017488 0.043108 0.106955 0.260075 0.661936
2026-04-19 0.002834 0.007156 0.017494 0.044225 0.112572 0.280729 0.733858
2026-04-26 0.002558 0.006615 0.016550 0.042862 0.111811 0.285652 0.766097
2026-05-03 0.002368 0.006269 0.016044 0.042549 0.113701 0.297459 0.818095
2026-05-10 0.002190 0.005931 0.015519 0.042119 0.115225 0.308505 0.869565